Monday, November 30, 2009
Japan Cup Weekend Recap
A profitable weekend for Keibagold was topped off by one of the most exciting finishes in the 29 year history of The Japan Cup. Ask Deputy at 21.1, cashed in a ¥104,700 ticket exacta for us in the 9th race on Sunday saving the blog from a near disaster. Next weeks G1 Dirt lost Summer Bird, consequently losing my interest.
Nov 28th & 29th Recap
Races Bet: 8
Races Won :2
Amount Wagered: ¥102,000
Amount Returned: ¥115,700
Net Profit: ¥13,700
Year To Date
Original Bankroll:¥1,000,000
Standing Bankroll ¥1,487,700
Net Profit ¥487,700
Sunday, November 29, 2009
Nov 29th Selections
All each-way exacta ¥1000(Tokyo) Lone Kyoto ¥500
Failed to isolate a winner on the 28th. My horses that made my cut card finished 1st or 2nd in all three races. Will dutch some tickets to try and get this blog a winning weekend.
Kyoto 4 Race 11 with 1,4,6,7,9,10,14
Tokyo 7th 5 with 1,3,10,11...11 with 1,3,10,
Tokyo 8th 11 with 2, 15,6,16..15 with 2,6,16
Tokyo 9th 2 with 12,6,10,11,13...12 with 1,6,10,11,13
Tokyo 11th 3 with 6,11,15,9..11 with 6,9,15
Failed to isolate a winner on the 28th. My horses that made my cut card finished 1st or 2nd in all three races. Will dutch some tickets to try and get this blog a winning weekend.
Kyoto 4 Race 11 with 1,4,6,7,9,10,14
Tokyo 7th 5 with 1,3,10,11...11 with 1,3,10,
Tokyo 8th 11 with 2, 15,6,16..15 with 2,6,16
Tokyo 9th 2 with 12,6,10,11,13...12 with 1,6,10,11,13
Tokyo 11th 3 with 6,11,15,9..11 with 6,9,15
Friday, November 27, 2009
Tokyo Nov 28th Selections
All ¥1000 each-way exactas
7th #1 Kenangan...Got her maiden win last time out with a very effective Z pattern. Demuro has her for a back to back win on dirt! with 8,10,11,13,16
8th #6 Bombardiere....Getting 7.1 because of starting troubles. Worth the risk! with 1,7,8,12,16
10th #2 Weltmeister...An under-valued pace setter. with 3,4,8,13
7th #1 Kenangan...Got her maiden win last time out with a very effective Z pattern. Demuro has her for a back to back win on dirt! with 8,10,11,13,16
8th #6 Bombardiere....Getting 7.1 because of starting troubles. Worth the risk! with 1,7,8,12,16
10th #2 Weltmeister...An under-valued pace setter. with 3,4,8,13
JAPAN CUP 09 WINNER!
Each way exactas( 6-10,9-10,5-10,8-10,10-11) A ten ticket insurance quinella box(5.6.8.9.11) The facts Mam, just the facts", an iconic line from a 60's television show is appropriate to summarize this years winner.
Fact #1 Otonishi is the leading Kansai trainer.
Fact #2 Uchida is the leading Kanto Jockey.
Fact #3 Of all the horses that can BENIFIT from an added distance since their previous race is only one.
Fact #4 The name ROCKS!!
My selection for the 09 JapanCup is OKEN BRUCE LEE.
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#9 Reach the Crown has a great " energy pace distribution" rating. If Take can get a comfortable pace? Watch out! # 5 Red Desire has the tactical speed to run on the lead shall Crown falter.#6Vodka will be in a position to make her signature move. Doubts prevail if she can win at 2400 again but Sumi is a master at conditioning. The opportunity will be there. #8Meiner Kultz--Never underestimate a Kunieda trained horse! He is healthy and thats enough to be a potential ticket buster.#11 Marsh Side--Drysdale has something " under the hood" here. I'm not sure what it is but then again I'm not a mechanic.
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#16 Conduit..What ever chance he had went out with the bath water after the terrible draw. His future is secure so don't see an over aggresive ride considering. The doctors oath" First do no harm" applies here as well.
#18 Screen Hero...Not the same horse as last year.Look at the replays of his previous races and at the 2200 mark his tank is running on empty and soon to be empty.
#1 Asakusa Kings..His last race was a real head scratcher!?..Remember, he was running stride for stride with last years Cup runner up Deep Sky until the last 100m.
#3 Air Shady...Not sure if there is any BIG RACE left in the 8 year old?
Tuesday, November 24, 2009
November Recap
Some exciting races to be had in the following few weeks. My Japan Cup Selection might be downgraded from a " paid" to a " service". My money lines and track projections have already been done AND still there are SEVEN horses with viable stats. This is not good when you want to isolate a winner and solid ticket configuration If rain comes Friday and Saturday, the list shortens dramatically.
NOV,
Races Bet: 3
Races Won 0
Amount Wagered: ¥48,000
Amount Lost: -¥48,000
Year-to-date:
Original Bankroll: ¥1,000.000
Standing Bankroll¥1,474,000
Net Profit: + ¥474,000
Saturday, November 21, 2009
Friday, November 13, 2009
Queen Elizabeth II
I've been touting Buena Vista ( # March 9th Post))as having the best sudden acceleration of any race horse this decade, and come this Sunday she will prove me right once again. Queen for a day**BUENA VISTA
Nov 15th, 11 Race, Kyoto
Exacta: 16-5,16-8,16-12,16-17( ¥2000 each way)
Trifecta:(¥1000)16-5-8,16-5-12,16-5-17,16-8-5,16-8-12,16-8-17,16-12-5,16-12-8,16-12-17,16-17-5,16-17-8,
16-17-12
Japan Cup & Japan Cup Dirt
Monday, November 9, 2009
Weekend Recap
Saturday, November 7, 2009
Argentina G2
Jaguar Mail will be sent off as a 3.8 favorite in tomorrows Argentina G2 race at the Tokyo Race Course. Coming in 2nd last year, behind eventual Japan Cup winner Screen Hero, Mail looks fresh and has a weaker field comparability to 08, thus Keibgold recommends straight up exactas on a 6-horse wheel.
11th Race, Start Time: 3:40 #17 with 4,5,11,12,15,16( ¥2000 each way)
Friday, November 6, 2009
Breeders Cup Turf
Only one play for me on this weekends Breeders Cup extraordinaire, and that's in Saturdays Turf.
I have a $ 300 each way exacta with 2,5,and 6. Spanish Moon and Conduit are as evenly matched as can be!! Dar Re Mi definitely has the kick to do well on the synthetic surface.* For those Japanese customers wishing to wager, please consider www.bet365.com.
Wednesday, November 4, 2009
Big Red Buys Conduit
Monday, November 2, 2009
Halloween Weekend Recap
A very profitable Halloween weekend for Keibagold, as followers were treated to a +154,000 profitable day. Tokyo's 1st race had Real Avenue coming in as the 1.5 first choice to top a ¥2210 exacta. Kashima Strong made it two in a row, finishing a neck in front of the 8th choice, that paid a tidy¥ 7490. **( Note of interest: There were 18 customers that received the #Paid Package Selections, which netted just ¥32,000 in profit! Its sometimes true that the best things in life are free!
Races Bet: 5
Races Won 2
Amount Wagered:¥50,000
Amount Returned: ¥204,000
Net Profit: ¥154,000
Year to date:
Starting bankroll: ¥1,000,000
Standing bankroll:¥1,522,000
Net Profit to date: ¥522,000
Sunday, November 1, 2009
Tenno-Sho**Shingen**?
Sorry, I have only"purchase selections" for today. My Tenno -Sho selection will not be included in the Keibagold bankroll, as I will not be personally betting the race. Many people take interest in the G1 races and have indicated they would like my insight rather I wager on them or not. Vodaka will soak up all the exotic pools and no matter where you use her the returns will be miniscule. If you don't use her then I would suggest to start taking your medication. For the" what its worth department...#10 with 3,7,8,12,15 in straight up Exactas.
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