FLEET STREET II

I had the Sumi-trained Fleet Street as my main selection back on January 9th and will do so again tomorrow. Winning his debut rather effortlessly , Fleet could get on a momentum roll and the class level jump still shouldn't be an impediment to that in this field.

Kokura 10th Race # 7 Fleet Street All ￥1000


7
4,6,10,12,13,
6,10

4,6,10,12,13
7
6,10

#7 with 4,6,10,12,13 Each-Way Exacta

Tokyo 11 Race...#8 Hiraboku Wild,,After 22 career races he had his first turn at 1400m last month in Hanshin. He won it and looked impressive doing it. Too many trifecta formations to manage so will hope for a straight up Exacta win.

#8 with 4,5,9,11.12,14,15 ￥1000 Each-Way Exacta

Tokyo 12 Race...#10 Carmine All Bets ￥500

10
3,12,14,15
3,15

3,12,14,15
10
3,15

Pelusa Gets A Soft Spot But Will Disappointment Still Reign ??

Truly , how far the mighty have fallen. To see Pelusa running knee deep in mediocrity in tomorrows main one has to ask " How did I get here? In Pelusas case, a disastrous turn in the Japan Cup, that had everyone scratching their collective heads. The Alima Kinen scratch I guess was more about saving face rather than health. There had to be a lot of discussion in the barn about the mindset of Pelusa, and with another potential dismal G1 showing in the most anticipated race of the year? it would have been utterly embarrassing.

The race itself tomorrow looks like a cakewalk for a horse even half as talented as Pelusa. The prior 52 races combine of the remaining 13 entrants has produced ONLY 3 winners. The average time of an Open Stakes race at 2000 meters in Fuchu is 1.59.5. Pelusa ran a 1.56.3 here back in October suggesting even at a slower time a probable 4 length victory is easily attainable over his nearest rivals.

However in summary: This is Pelusa we are talking about...Bettors Beware!!

Tokyo 11 Race... #10 Pelusa All Trifectas and Each-Way Exactas ￥1000

10
3,5,7,8,9,12
5,8,9

#10 with 3,5,7,8,9,12

January 22nd

Owner Reiko Hara has two Omega horses going tomorrow in the 7th and 8th respectfully. I will play trifectas and quinellas in both. Trifectas: ￥500 Quinellas: ￥1000

Nakayama 7th Race #10 Omega Christmas
* sorry some revised numbers The 7th is the 11 horse and not the 14 and in the 8th, the 9 replaces the 12



10
1,9,11,13,
2

10
1,2,11,13,
9

1.9,11,13,
10
2

1,2,11,13,
10
9

#10 with 1,2,9,11,13, quinellas

8th Race.....# Omega King Kong

15
4,6,7,9,13
8

15
4,7,8,9,13
6

4,6,7,9,13
15
8

4,7,8,9,13
15
6

#15 with 4,6,7,8,9,13

January 21

Nakayama 12th Race...#4 Crawford....Hard to say what the dirt track will be like in the last race but she came in a strong 4th last time out in a similar gate. Getting 7-1 now but taking a small risk that she might even duplicate but hopefully do better here.

The Wager: All ￥500


4
1,3,5,10, 14,16
7

4
1,3,5,7,10,16
14

1,3,5,10, 14,16
4
7

1,3,5,7,10,16
4
14

January 15th

A 2200 m race in the 12th finalizes my wagering weekend as #9 Florist Life is hopefully well rested to challenge this small field. Also I like 23-1 Snowdon in the main, but will opt for a few Exacta Tickets.

Nakayama

9th Race # 12 Suiren ( 12 tickets) ￥500

12
6,11
15

12
11.15,
6

12
6,15
11

6,11,
12
15

11,15,
12
6

6,15,
12
11

10th Race # 5 Mousquetare ( 12 tickets) ￥500
5
1,7,4
4

5
1,7,4
14

1,7,4,
5
4

1,7,4,
5
14

11 Race #3 with 5,7,8,15 ￥500 Each-Way Exacta

12th Race #9 Florist Life ( 12 tickets) ￥1000

9
1,7,10
2

9
2,7,10
1

1,7,10
9
2

2,7,10
9
1

January 14th

Mountain Fast hugs the rail in the Kyoto 4th to get the top play in a four race card.

Nakayama

3rd Race...#13 Snow Craft

(13 & 2,3,8,10, & 11) ( 13 & 3,8,10,11, & 2 )(2,3,8,10, & 13 & 11)( 3,8,10,11, & 13 & 2) ( 16 tickets) All ￥500

7th Race...#13 Sammaru Viento

13 & 1,6,& 9)( 13 & 6,9,& 1 )(13 & 1,9, & 6)( 1,6,& 13 & 9 )(6,9, & 13 & 1)( 9,6, & 13 & 6) ( 12 tickets) All ￥500

12th Race....#3 Red Strada

3 & ( 7,8,14, & 9 )( 3 & 7,9,14, & 8)( 7,8,14, & 3 & 9)( 7,9,14, & & 3 & 8) ( 12 tickets) All ￥500

Kyoto

4th..#1 Mountain Fast

1 & 6,11,& 14 )(1 & 11,14, & 6)( 1 & 6,14, & 11)( 6,11, & 1& 14 )(11,14, & 1 & 6)( 6,14, & 1 & 11)
( 12 tickets) All ￥1000***************************************************************

Current Results:
Won 2 Lost 13
Amount Wagered: ￥124,000

Amount Returned: ￥153,000

Net Profit: + ￥28,000

January 9th

Fleet Street in the Kyoto 6th will be my anchor on my straight trifecta card on this lone Monday race day, and finish up with a 12-1 chance, Parade, in the Kyoto last.

Nakayama 8th Race... #1 West Harbor/ #7 Shise Oji

1-(4,7,10,15,)-14, * (4,7,10,14)-1-15,* ( 1,4,10,14,)-7-15,* 7-(1,4,10,15)-14 *16 tickets All ￥500

9th Race ...#12 treasure Battle

12-(3,6),-16* (3,6,)-12-16,* 12-(3,16,)-6* (3,16,)-12-6* 8 tickets All ￥500

10th...#9 Impress Winner

9-(5,6,8,16,)-1* 9-(1,5,8,16,)-6* (5,6,8,16)-9-1 *(1,5,8,16)-9-6 *16 tickets All ￥500
********************************************************************************
Kyoto

6th Race # 3 FLEET STREET

3-(5,10,12,13,)-11* 3-(5,11,12,13,)-10* 8 tickets All￥2000

8th Race....#2 Enill

2-(1,3,5,9,)-11* 2-(1,3,5,11,)-9* (1,3,5,9,)-2-11* (1,3,5,11,)-2-9 *16 tickets All ￥500

12th Race...#6 Beach Parade

6-(2,8,13,16,)-11 * 6-(8,11,13,16,)-2* (2,8,13,16,)-6-11* ( 8,11,13,16,)-6-2 *16 tickets All 500

January 8th

Today I have marked trainer Kazuya Nakatake as having a successful race day as his entries seem to be well below the odds radar, particularly the dangerous War Crown in the 10th. and Zenno Verano in the 11th. Great payouts on his horses if they can top my trifecta cards.

Nakayama: ( ALL STRAIGHT TRIFECTA TICKETS )

3rd Race...# 5 Meiner Baldur

5 & 3,4,13,15, & 11 ( 4 tickets) 5 & 3,4,11,13, & 15 ( 4 tickets) 3,4,13,15 & 5 & 11 ( 4 tickets)
3,4,11,13, & 5 & 15 ( 4 tickets) All ￥500

5th Race....#1 Daddy Cool

1 & 6,11, & 10 ( 2 tickets) 1 & 10,11, & 6 ( 2 tickets) 6,11, & 1 & 10 ( 2 tickets) 10,11 & 1 & 6 ( 2 tickets) All ￥1000

8th Race...# 9 Shin My Top

7 & 1,5,11, & 9 ( 3 tickets) 9 & 1,5,11, & 7 ( 3 tickets)
All ￥1000

10th Race..# 10 War Crown

10 & 1,2,4,12, & 11 ( 4 tickets) 10 & 1,4,11,12, & 2 ( 4 tickets) 1,2,4,12, & 10 & 11 ( 4 tickets)
1,4, 11,12, & 10 & 2 ( 4 tickets) All ￥1000

11 Race .. # 6 Zenno Verano

6 & 5,11,15, & 14 ( 3 tickets) 6 & 11,14,15, & 5 ( 3 tickets) 5,11,15, & 6 & 14 ( 3 tickets)
5,14,15, & 6 & 5 ( 3 tickets) All ￥1000

12th Race..# 10 Ichiban

10 & 1,4,14, & 13 ( 3 tickets) 10 & 1,13,14, & 4 ( 3 tickets) 1,4,14, & 10 & 13 ( 3 tickets)
1,13,14, & 10 & 4 ( 3 tickets) All ￥500

2011

As always I would like to say a big Thank You for those taking the time to read this blog , especially the All Star team* ( you know who you are*) that regularly comments and gives invaluable insight into a very challenging venue that is Japanese Keiba.

Unfortunately I had my first losing season here in 011. There were no signature big wins for most part of the calender year, but managed to cut down the loss amount by a few decent returns late in the game.

Surveying the results, it was easy to see where I chased after too many horses ( Target Machine& Absolute) that never came through for me. Also I've noticed too many races had tickets construed to limit the amount of losses ( wide tickets, insurance tickets) rather than to optimize a win.

I didn't work with the parameters of the blogs bankroll in many instances, instead letting emotions take over in making sporadic jumps of ticket amounts. ( Pelusa in the Japan Cup lol) for example.
**********************************************************************************
2012 Strategies

The bigger wins that occurred here mostly came off of Trifecta tickets. Smile Jack, Narita Cyrstal, Alfredo, to name a few. This will probably be the most notable change this coming year as I will stress a volume of more races to bet but with a more limited bankroll with single tickets being predominantly no more than ￥1000 and with emphasis on higher payouts, mainly made up of Trifecta tickets.


I will post wagers for earlier races this year something that I didn't do last year. * I try to keep the reader in mind as it isn't always possible to bet an early race if one so desires. If the readers would like to make an early selection wager just give me an email or comment and I can gladly put it on for you.


I stopped the " charity races" shortly after the earthquake ( which was kind of stupid if you think about it). They were actually showing a profit. I'll consider re-starting them.


I'll most definitely get a " Pick 5 " pool initiated soon.

>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

Personal Results:

I had two returns of over ￥900,000　last year. The single biggest loss on one race was a little over ￥200,000. My website ( which is down temporarily now) reached a peak of 19 " Paid Customers" and generated close to ￥700,000 profit ending 011. As of December 31st my result including my service generated income was a profit of ￥1,250,000. I'm certainly not rolling in it but for a serious pastime that I enjoy I'm quite pleased with that* but could always use more :)

2011 Results:

Races Wagered: 93
Races Won: 25

Total Wagered Amount: ￥1,512,00
Total Amount Returned: ￥1,305,00
2011 Amount Loss: ￥207,000

Overall Bankroll Standings: + ￥644,000

WELCOME BACK KIMPAI

Nakayama 11 Race..#13 EXPEDITION

13-12-5, 13-16-5, 13-5-16, 3-12-16, 13-16-12, 13-5-12 6 tickets ￥1000 Each

13 & 5,12,16 Each Way Exactas 6 tickets ￥1000



Additional races I'll be betting

5th Nakayama #3 Snow scape 25-1
12th Nakayama #11 Deep Sound 4.2