SPRINTERS STAKES

The first G1 race of the autumn campaign has the most versatile horse in the most disadvantageous gate of the racing day. However, having the bulk of the contenders includng the favorite all breaking from the outside somewhat mutes the handicap . The WAGER# 16 with 11,13,14,15 ¥3000 EACH WAY TRIFECTA

Yasuda Kinen

#4 Strong Return.  Evident from his last race, Strong seems to be fit and ready to make an even STRONGER return here.

4 with 7,14,17  ￥4000 Each Way Exacta

￥1000 Straight Trifecta
4
7,14,17
7,10,14,17,18

AN ACE IN THE HOLE COME DERBY DAY

Betting 3 yr olds is an always a changing,synergy process. Much like the popular " Reality Shows" of the day, American Idol, You Got Talent,etc we find our favorites,eliminate the sub par, in essence, becoming the ultimate judge where our eventual prognosis accumulates in the Derby.

Going back and analyzing my selections of this years crop and prep races, I found that I didn't really get an "early feel" for any of the contenders come this Sunday.

Of the 18 Derby entrants, only 6 were selected as my top pick in any of their given races. They were: Alfredo, Spielberg, Historical, Deep Brillante, Just a Way, and Trip.

Alfredo: Had a big win with him back in December in the Futurity. I never imagined him as a Derby horse mainly because the winners of this race seem to peak too early.

Trip: This was my Derby selection from the get-go. Already there is a certain sense of satisfaction in  that he actually found himself in the big race, unlike last years choice Target Machine, who never panned out. The Yayoi was a good race for him but not so much for me, as I failed to collect ,thanks in large part of my over estimate of Adams Peak and Fenomeno.( but I'm back on Fenomeno's bandwagon) :)

Deep Brillante: My top pick in two races. I like his determination. Putting him in trifecta formations with the contenders is going against conventional handicapping wisdom however. A fast pace usually spells the doom for such stalkers and aids the stretch runners, while a slow pace could be ideal for Deep and create huge hurdles for the late comers. Interesting enough, I don't see the outcome being much different either way. Brillante seems capable of holding a fast pace and the stretch runners, Gold & Co have the explosiveness to withstand even a snails pace.

Spielberg Bet the horse when he made that huge class drop to the 8th race. The track did him in that day but very consistent.

Historical: Owner Kondo was going through an dry spell .but I thought this horse could get him out of the rut. He did and I think there is a tremendous potential upswing for this horse.

Just A Way. Looks like a miler but his long stride and his penchant of taking time to get revved up seems to me to be ideal for this distance. This is my highest priced horse I will be using in my formations. 45-1 but worth a shot.

Now that every things been said and shredded I believe the talent of this race lies in the upper echelon of the odds board.  Even though Ikee has had a few disappointments with older horses this year, his touch with the 3yr olds is indisputable, The firm surface being only programmatic with the forecast will be a huge boon to World Ace. Traffic always being a concern notwithstanding , I'm wagering on a runaway winner on the 27th.

THE WAGER

8-2,  8-6,  8-11,   ￥10,000 Exactas    ￥2000 Exactas  8-1, 8-4, 8-10, 8-12, 8-18
2-8,  6-8, 8-11     ￥20,000 Quinellas

￥1000 Straight Trifecta Formation
8
2,6,11
1,2,4,6,10,11

Japanese Oaks

#1 I'm Yours....The previous 1600 m G1 prep the Oka Sho is a tough race to gauge the worth of this 2400 m affair. However looking at the top finishers, all of them came off the pace well and after a month of training and a fast track the contenders look like they all could fire here again. The bloodlines of I'm Yours looks more convincing at this distance than the congestion of Deep Impacts sires, at this particular time anyways.

The Wager
1 with 8,9,10,14  ￥2000 Each Way Exactas

1
8,9,10,14
8,9,10,14

￥500 Straight Trifectas

Victoria Mile

#4 Meine Isabe

The Wager: 4-7, 4-12, 4-14      ￥5000 Quinellas

NHK MILE

#7 Hana's Goal.....We should finally get a firm course on the turf tomorrow. Tough race here, but her last two previous races showed a potential tremendous upside.

7 with 5,11,14,17  ￥1000 Each Way Exacta

Principal Stakes

#17 Courir Kaiser, getting the outside draw seems a daunting task but I like that there is a 2400 race in the 10th to help sod out the track a bit. Jockey Yoshida has been doing well with this horses connection thus far in this early Spring meet.

17 with 4,8,9,12,15  ￥1000 Each Way Exacta

Tenno Sho

18
5,14,16
5,14,16

￥1000 Straight Trifectas

Aoba Sho

Tokyo 11th Race...I always thought #5 Gallant would fair better on a fast track but probably wont get one tomorrow. Nevertheless will include him and three others in a 4-horse Quinella box.

5-7   ￥4000   7-13  ￥2000
5-13 ￥4000   7-16  ￥2000
5-16 ￥4000  13-16 ￥2000

April 22

Tokyo 11 Race ...# 7 Midsummer Fair

' with 8,10,12,13,14,  ￥1000 Each Way Exacta

April 15th

Nakayama 11 Race Satsuki-Sho.......#6 Deep Brillante

The turf should be running very similar to the Yayoi Sho, where Brillante ran a to a second place showing. The Satsuki is certainly loaded with more class horses than the Yayoi but Deep has been very consistent in holding his position down the stretch. The conditions make it difficult for handicapping for sure but will opt for the horse that proved he could weather the storm.

6-18 ￥10,000 Quinella 2-6,3-6, 6-14, 6-15, ￥1000 Quinella Savers





Nakayama 8th Race #7 Crawford

7 with 3,5,8,12,14 ￥1000 Each Way Exacta

April 8th

Hanshin 11 Race

#Joie de Vivre.... I think she is a formidable horse but not just the same talent as her sister at this stage. Going to key her for 2nd!!

5-17
10-17
11-17

￥5000 Straight Trifecta

￥5,000 WIDE 11-17 , 10-17

April 7th

War Crown provided me with my first win of the year so here's hoping for more success on going back to the well.

Nakayama 10th Race

3,4,6,8,11,12 Tri Box ￥1000

#4 with 3,6,8,11,12 ￥1000 Each Way Exacta

Spring House Cleaning

Tallying up the win/loss , profit/loss for the Spring. After three months we are showing a profit thanks in part to the good return in the February Stakes. Trainer Kazuya Nakatake 's good run early in January ,Katsuhiru Tanaka's Birthday card on Feb 25th, and Carnavolet's return on the straight Trifecta( March 10th ) round out the bigger wins thus far this campaign. Missed out on Trip in the Yayoi sho as a major wager, but the key horse did manage a 2nd place finish, but unfortunately to no profitable avail.
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February Stakes W ￥2000 Trio * odds 155.3 Exacta W ￥1000 16-3 *odds 262.1
March 10th Hanshin 6th Race W Trifecta ￥1000 *odds 214.7


Overall

W 16 L 34 {Avg Race Wager ￥25,500}

Amount Wagered: ￥1,375,000
Amount Returned ￥1,560,000

Net Return ￥+ 175,000

April 1st

Nakayama 11 Race #7 Belshazzar.... held on to his fractions last time out. Could greatly benefit by the turfs conditions tomorrow.

The Wager: 7 with 5,8,12,15 ￥1000 Each Way Exacta

March 31st

Nakayama 12 Race..#3 Honokaa Boy A rare 2400m on dirt

3 with 2,5,8,11 ￥1000 Each Way Exacta

March 25th

Tosen Ares moves up to a graded race after finally winning at the 1600 level. All but one of his five wins came here at Nakayama. If he can hit the start( unlike the last time Shibata rode him) this 12-1 horse could figure here.

Nakayama
11 Race

6,10,11,12,13,15 ￥1000 Trios

10 with 6,11,12,13,15 Each Way Exacta

Straight Trifectas ￥500

10
6,11,12,13,15
13,15

6,11,12,13,15
10
13,15

March 24th

Owner Richie Kondo hasn't had much success in the main races thus far this year. Let's see if Historical can turn that around.

Kyoto 11 Race

3,4,6,8,9,11 ￥1000 Trios

#6 with 3,4,8,9,11 ￥1000 Each Way Exacta

March 18th

Hanshin 7th Race...#12 American Diner Beaten favorite last time out at 2.5 , now getting close to 8.0. I'll give him another shot here at 1800m

3,4,6,10,12,13 ￥1000 Trio Box

12 with 3,4,6,10,13 Each-Way Exacta ￥1000


Nakayama 11 Race #9 Deep Brillante The surface for tomorrow really looks to favor this horse. Could win by a country mile if allowed to run at " My Pace" and sit off the leader(s).

9-11, 9-14 ￥10,000 Quinellas

March 17th

Coincidence or not but we might have the luck of the Irish in the 3rd race.

Nakayama 3rd race #7 Patrick's Day

2,6,7,9,10,13 Trios for ￥1000 ( 20 tickets)
7 with 2,6,9,10, 13 Each Way Exacta ￥1000


Chukyo 6th race..Omega Blue Hawaii

1,2,3,5,6,8 ￥1000 Trios( 20 tickets)
2 with 1,3,5,6,8 Each Way Exacta ￥1000

March 11th

The beautiful and the talented are playing in a race day double feature.

Nakayama 7th Spielberg is taking a huge drop in class. The odds pool will be around 1.8. Archive, though not placing in his last three outings, could also figure here which would make the payout much more generous.

3,6
3,6,7,8,9
3,7,8,9

￥500 Straight Trifecta

Nakayama 9th..#7 Crawford.. 3rd favorite in similar conditions in January but missed the start and ran unmotivated. Let's see if she can do better this time around.

1,3,4,7,8,16 Trios for ￥1000 20 tickets
7 with 1,3,4,8,16 ￥1000 Each Way Exacta

Hanshin 6th race #5 Carnavalet....She had a good run in Kokura last time out but still only the 3rd choice here ,in a very small field?. Possibly getting at least 5-1

5
3,4,6,9
3,4,6,9,

3,4,6,9,
5
3,4,6,9

All ￥1000 Straight Trifectas

5 with 3,4,6,9 ￥1000 Each Way Exacta

March 10th

Will post tomorrow morning.

Yayoi Sho

Gold Ship, a horse not running in the Yayoi nevertheless sets an applicable barometer for the eventual winner. Coming out of the Radio Tampa Hai back in December, Gold ran to a two length victory in The Kyodo News Hai his following race. Now we have two more challengers coming out of the Tampa, race favorite Trip and the winner Adams Peak. Both looks to figure here! The race itself sets up nicely for a stretch runner as at least six horses can viably challenge for the lead. I'm gonna play them both and privately will make this my first Blue Ribbon ( a single wager of over ￥150,000) bet of the year.

Nakayama 11 Race

Straight Trifectas ￥500
2,12
2,12,8,10,13,15
2,12,8,10,13,15

Trio Box 20 tickets ￥2000
2, 12, 8, 10, 13, 15

#2-12 ￥10,000 WIDE
#2-12 ￥3000 Each-Way Exacta

#2 with 8, 10, 13, 15 ￥2000 Each Way Exacta

March 3rd

The Ocean Stakes seems to be a wide open affair with the favorite hovering around 4.o. I'm going to box six horses with Shin Vertigo getting an extra amount of love because of her consistent credibility at 1200m. The Tulip Sho out in Hanshin breaks down to a three horse race. Joie de Vivre is the dominate favorite, but I'm not so sure the other two are that far behind her?

Nakayama 11 Race

2,3,4,9,10,13 trio box for ￥1000 20 tickets ￥20,000
10 with 2,3,4,9,13 Each-Way Exacta ￥1000

Hanshin 11 Race

1,5,14
1,5,14,
1,5,14

￥2000 Straight Trifecta Box

February 26th

Really nothing of note tomorrow. I'm going to play along the same lines as today and go with a Munakata/Tanaka combination. Today's 2nd race was a major " steam" horse for his regular jockey and with Take Yutaka's mount providing a perfect anchor for the birthday boy, it provided one hell of a trifecta present for the both of them. I most definitely should have pounced on it much more. A very rare opportunity and especially one that was so easy to spot.

Nakayama 7th Race ++ ( 6-horse trio box is 20 tickets and not the 15 that I always put++

2,3,7,10,11,12 .....6 horse trio box ￥1000 15 tickets
2 with 3,7,10,11,12 ￥1000 Each-Way Exacta

February 25th

I'm going to bookend two races## #( three) keying the birthday boy Katsuharu Tanaka, and hope that the rain wont effect Just A Way showing off his miler pedantry like he did in Niigata last year.

Nakayama 2nd Race
3,4,8,10.13,15 ....6 horse trio box , ￥1000 15 tickets ￥15,000
3 with 4,8,10,13,15 Each-Way Exacta ￥1000



Nakayama 6th race

1,4,5,8,10,12 ....... 6 horse trio box , ￥1000 15 tickets ￥15,000
4 with 1,5,8,10,12 Each-Way Exacta ￥1000


12th Race

3,6,7,8,13,16 ....... 6 horse trio box , ￥1000 15 tickets ￥15,000
3 with 6,7,8,13,16 Each-Way Exacta ￥1000

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Hanshin 11 Race

2,3,7,8,9,13........ 6 horse trio box , ￥1000 15 tickets ￥15,000

13 with 2,7,8,9 ￥1000 Each-Way Exacta ￥1000
3-13 ￥2000 Each Way Exacta 3-13 ￥5000 WIDE

February Stakes

I decided to stick with proven dirt runners in this race and eliminate #4 and #13. Earlier on this year I made a conscious decision to shade Ikee's horses when appropriate, thus will not include #11. So, with a little bit extra on SILK FORTUNE, I will run with a ten ticket trio box.

TOKYO 11th

The Wager: 3,9,10,15,16 Trio Box ( 10 tickets) ￥2000 ￥20,000 Total

# 3 with 9,10,15,16 ￥1000 Each Way Exacta

FLEET STREET III

Tokyo 10th Race..#6 Fleet Street.. Trainer Sumii has the horse running well and often.

The Wager: 6 with 1,3,4,5,8,13 Each Way Exacta ￥1000

11th.. #1 & 9

The Wager: 1 with 2,3,9,10,16 Each-Way Exacta ￥1000
9 with 1,2,3,10,16 WIDE ￥1000

Lincoln Sires Come Up Big On His Birthday??

Today going with two plays both in the 9th races. Shiny Dandy is getting 20-1 after two " off the board" races in a higher class. I'm not sure why the drop in odds since he was competitive relative to his morning line of those races. Kokura's Believe Mine came in 4th last time out but looks to be better here.

Kyoto 9th Race

13
1,3,4,10,11,12
1,3,12

1,3,4,10,11,12
13
1,3,12

13 with 1,3,4,10,11,12 Each-Way Exacta

Kokura 9th Race # 11 Believe Mine

11
1,3,4,8,12,15
3,8,12

1,3,4,8,12,15
11
3,8,12

#11 with 1,3,4,8,10,12,15

Kisaragi Sho

Doing the math on this race ( yes, pun intended) I don't detect any particular speed advantage for Archimedes, but I'm loving the connections. Looking at the 3yr old classic race nominee list for Darley Farms and Sheik Mohammed, this horse is pretty much their last chance. Stablemate #1 Snowdon hasn't shown any type of potential dominance in a Graded race yet, so reiterating my point; connections factor big here. Also, a trainer( Fujiwara) without a classic horse thus far and a horse who came in 4th to Trip back in December, a horse which I feel will become one of the favorites going ahead further in the Spring meet.

Kyoto 11 Race.. #6 Archimedes

All ￥500 Trifectas ￥1000 Quinellas


6
1,4,7,8,9,10,13
1,7,9

1,4,7,8,9,10,13
6
1,7,9

#6 with 1,4,7,8,9,10,13

EXPEDITION BACK ON FAMILIAR GROUND

Kokura 11 Race...#9 Expedition ..This horse was my first wager of the year ( and first loss) back in the Kinpai Stakes in Nakayama. It was the first time at the Tokyo track,though not embarrassed he managed an uneventful 5th. Now back in Kokura, Expedition has hit the boards five out of seven career starts including four straight up wins. A wager that the good results can continue here.

All Trifectas ￥500 Quinellas ￥1000

9
3,7,12,13,16
3,12,16

3,7,12,13,16
9
3,12,16

#9 with 3,7,12,13,16 Quinellas

FLEET STREET II

I had the Sumi-trained Fleet Street as my main selection back on January 9th and will do so again tomorrow. Winning his debut rather effortlessly , Fleet could get on a momentum roll and the class level jump still shouldn't be an impediment to that in this field.

Kokura 10th Race # 7 Fleet Street All ￥1000


7
4,6,10,12,13,
6,10

4,6,10,12,13
7
6,10

#7 with 4,6,10,12,13 Each-Way Exacta

Tokyo 11 Race...#8 Hiraboku Wild,,After 22 career races he had his first turn at 1400m last month in Hanshin. He won it and looked impressive doing it. Too many trifecta formations to manage so will hope for a straight up Exacta win.

#8 with 4,5,9,11.12,14,15 ￥1000 Each-Way Exacta

Tokyo 12 Race...#10 Carmine All Bets ￥500

10
3,12,14,15
3,15

3,12,14,15
10
3,15

Pelusa Gets A Soft Spot But Will Disappointment Still Reign ??

Truly , how far the mighty have fallen. To see Pelusa running knee deep in mediocrity in tomorrows main one has to ask " How did I get here? In Pelusas case, a disastrous turn in the Japan Cup, that had everyone scratching their collective heads. The Alima Kinen scratch I guess was more about saving face rather than health. There had to be a lot of discussion in the barn about the mindset of Pelusa, and with another potential dismal G1 showing in the most anticipated race of the year? it would have been utterly embarrassing.

The race itself tomorrow looks like a cakewalk for a horse even half as talented as Pelusa. The prior 52 races combine of the remaining 13 entrants has produced ONLY 3 winners. The average time of an Open Stakes race at 2000 meters in Fuchu is 1.59.5. Pelusa ran a 1.56.3 here back in October suggesting even at a slower time a probable 4 length victory is easily attainable over his nearest rivals.

However in summary: This is Pelusa we are talking about...Bettors Beware!!

Tokyo 11 Race... #10 Pelusa All Trifectas and Each-Way Exactas ￥1000

10
3,5,7,8,9,12
5,8,9

#10 with 3,5,7,8,9,12

January 22nd

Owner Reiko Hara has two Omega horses going tomorrow in the 7th and 8th respectfully. I will play trifectas and quinellas in both. Trifectas: ￥500 Quinellas: ￥1000

Nakayama 7th Race #10 Omega Christmas
* sorry some revised numbers The 7th is the 11 horse and not the 14 and in the 8th, the 9 replaces the 12



10
1,9,11,13,
2

10
1,2,11,13,
9

1.9,11,13,
10
2

1,2,11,13,
10
9

#10 with 1,2,9,11,13, quinellas

8th Race.....# Omega King Kong

15
4,6,7,9,13
8

15
4,7,8,9,13
6

4,6,7,9,13
15
8

4,7,8,9,13
15
6

#15 with 4,6,7,8,9,13

January 21

Nakayama 12th Race...#4 Crawford....Hard to say what the dirt track will be like in the last race but she came in a strong 4th last time out in a similar gate. Getting 7-1 now but taking a small risk that she might even duplicate but hopefully do better here.

The Wager: All ￥500


4
1,3,5,10, 14,16
7

4
1,3,5,7,10,16
14

1,3,5,10, 14,16
4
7

1,3,5,7,10,16
4
14

January 15th

A 2200 m race in the 12th finalizes my wagering weekend as #9 Florist Life is hopefully well rested to challenge this small field. Also I like 23-1 Snowdon in the main, but will opt for a few Exacta Tickets.

Nakayama

9th Race # 12 Suiren ( 12 tickets) ￥500

12
6,11
15

12
11.15,
6

12
6,15
11

6,11,
12
15

11,15,
12
6

6,15,
12
11

10th Race # 5 Mousquetare ( 12 tickets) ￥500
5
1,7,4
4

5
1,7,4
14

1,7,4,
5
4

1,7,4,
5
14

11 Race #3 with 5,7,8,15 ￥500 Each-Way Exacta

12th Race #9 Florist Life ( 12 tickets) ￥1000

9
1,7,10
2

9
2,7,10
1

1,7,10
9
2

2,7,10
9
1

January 14th

Mountain Fast hugs the rail in the Kyoto 4th to get the top play in a four race card.

Nakayama

3rd Race...#13 Snow Craft

(13 & 2,3,8,10, & 11) ( 13 & 3,8,10,11, & 2 )(2,3,8,10, & 13 & 11)( 3,8,10,11, & 13 & 2) ( 16 tickets) All ￥500

7th Race...#13 Sammaru Viento

13 & 1,6,& 9)( 13 & 6,9,& 1 )(13 & 1,9, & 6)( 1,6,& 13 & 9 )(6,9, & 13 & 1)( 9,6, & 13 & 6) ( 12 tickets) All ￥500

12th Race....#3 Red Strada

3 & ( 7,8,14, & 9 )( 3 & 7,9,14, & 8)( 7,8,14, & 3 & 9)( 7,9,14, & & 3 & 8) ( 12 tickets) All ￥500

Kyoto

4th..#1 Mountain Fast

1 & 6,11,& 14 )(1 & 11,14, & 6)( 1 & 6,14, & 11)( 6,11, & 1& 14 )(11,14, & 1 & 6)( 6,14, & 1 & 11)
( 12 tickets) All ￥1000***************************************************************

Current Results:
Won 2 Lost 13
Amount Wagered: ￥124,000

Amount Returned: ￥153,000

Net Profit: + ￥28,000

January 9th

Fleet Street in the Kyoto 6th will be my anchor on my straight trifecta card on this lone Monday race day, and finish up with a 12-1 chance, Parade, in the Kyoto last.

Nakayama 8th Race... #1 West Harbor/ #7 Shise Oji

1-(4,7,10,15,)-14, * (4,7,10,14)-1-15,* ( 1,4,10,14,)-7-15,* 7-(1,4,10,15)-14 *16 tickets All ￥500

9th Race ...#12 treasure Battle

12-(3,6),-16* (3,6,)-12-16,* 12-(3,16,)-6* (3,16,)-12-6* 8 tickets All ￥500

10th...#9 Impress Winner

9-(5,6,8,16,)-1* 9-(1,5,8,16,)-6* (5,6,8,16)-9-1 *(1,5,8,16)-9-6 *16 tickets All ￥500
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Kyoto

6th Race # 3 FLEET STREET

3-(5,10,12,13,)-11* 3-(5,11,12,13,)-10* 8 tickets All￥2000

8th Race....#2 Enill

2-(1,3,5,9,)-11* 2-(1,3,5,11,)-9* (1,3,5,9,)-2-11* (1,3,5,11,)-2-9 *16 tickets All ￥500

12th Race...#6 Beach Parade

6-(2,8,13,16,)-11 * 6-(8,11,13,16,)-2* (2,8,13,16,)-6-11* ( 8,11,13,16,)-6-2 *16 tickets All 500

January 8th

Today I have marked trainer Kazuya Nakatake as having a successful race day as his entries seem to be well below the odds radar, particularly the dangerous War Crown in the 10th. and Zenno Verano in the 11th. Great payouts on his horses if they can top my trifecta cards.

Nakayama: ( ALL STRAIGHT TRIFECTA TICKETS )

3rd Race...# 5 Meiner Baldur

5 & 3,4,13,15, & 11 ( 4 tickets) 5 & 3,4,11,13, & 15 ( 4 tickets) 3,4,13,15 & 5 & 11 ( 4 tickets)
3,4,11,13, & 5 & 15 ( 4 tickets) All ￥500

5th Race....#1 Daddy Cool

1 & 6,11, & 10 ( 2 tickets) 1 & 10,11, & 6 ( 2 tickets) 6,11, & 1 & 10 ( 2 tickets) 10,11 & 1 & 6 ( 2 tickets) All ￥1000

8th Race...# 9 Shin My Top

7 & 1,5,11, & 9 ( 3 tickets) 9 & 1,5,11, & 7 ( 3 tickets)
All ￥1000

10th Race..# 10 War Crown

10 & 1,2,4,12, & 11 ( 4 tickets) 10 & 1,4,11,12, & 2 ( 4 tickets) 1,2,4,12, & 10 & 11 ( 4 tickets)
1,4, 11,12, & 10 & 2 ( 4 tickets) All ￥1000

11 Race .. # 6 Zenno Verano

6 & 5,11,15, & 14 ( 3 tickets) 6 & 11,14,15, & 5 ( 3 tickets) 5,11,15, & 6 & 14 ( 3 tickets)
5,14,15, & 6 & 5 ( 3 tickets) All ￥1000

12th Race..# 10 Ichiban

10 & 1,4,14, & 13 ( 3 tickets) 10 & 1,13,14, & 4 ( 3 tickets) 1,4,14, & 10 & 13 ( 3 tickets)
1,13,14, & 10 & 4 ( 3 tickets) All ￥500

2011

As always I would like to say a big Thank You for those taking the time to read this blog , especially the All Star team* ( you know who you are*) that regularly comments and gives invaluable insight into a very challenging venue that is Japanese Keiba.

Unfortunately I had my first losing season here in 011. There were no signature big wins for most part of the calender year, but managed to cut down the loss amount by a few decent returns late in the game.

Surveying the results, it was easy to see where I chased after too many horses ( Target Machine& Absolute) that never came through for me. Also I've noticed too many races had tickets construed to limit the amount of losses ( wide tickets, insurance tickets) rather than to optimize a win.

I didn't work with the parameters of the blogs bankroll in many instances, instead letting emotions take over in making sporadic jumps of ticket amounts. ( Pelusa in the Japan Cup lol) for example.
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2012 Strategies

The bigger wins that occurred here mostly came off of Trifecta tickets. Smile Jack, Narita Cyrstal, Alfredo, to name a few. This will probably be the most notable change this coming year as I will stress a volume of more races to bet but with a more limited bankroll with single tickets being predominantly no more than ￥1000 and with emphasis on higher payouts, mainly made up of Trifecta tickets.


I will post wagers for earlier races this year something that I didn't do last year. * I try to keep the reader in mind as it isn't always possible to bet an early race if one so desires. If the readers would like to make an early selection wager just give me an email or comment and I can gladly put it on for you.


I stopped the " charity races" shortly after the earthquake ( which was kind of stupid if you think about it). They were actually showing a profit. I'll consider re-starting them.


I'll most definitely get a " Pick 5 " pool initiated soon.

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Personal Results:

I had two returns of over ￥900,000　last year. The single biggest loss on one race was a little over ￥200,000. My website ( which is down temporarily now) reached a peak of 19 " Paid Customers" and generated close to ￥700,000 profit ending 011. As of December 31st my result including my service generated income was a profit of ￥1,250,000. I'm certainly not rolling in it but for a serious pastime that I enjoy I'm quite pleased with that* but could always use more :)

2011 Results:

Races Wagered: 93
Races Won: 25

Total Wagered Amount: ￥1,512,00
Total Amount Returned: ￥1,305,00
2011 Amount Loss: ￥207,000

Overall Bankroll Standings: + ￥644,000

WELCOME BACK KIMPAI

Nakayama 11 Race..#13 EXPEDITION

13-12-5, 13-16-5, 13-5-16, 3-12-16, 13-16-12, 13-5-12 6 tickets ￥1000 Each

13 & 5,12,16 Each Way Exactas 6 tickets ￥1000



Additional races I'll be betting

5th Nakayama #3 Snow scape 25-1
12th Nakayama #11 Deep Sound 4.2