Saturday, December 26, 2009

Dec 27th Selections

Nakayama 3rd Race #11 Dream Basket with 3,4,6,7,9( ¥1,000 Quinellas)
Nakayama 4th Race # 11 Liberty Valance with 1,2,3,6,7,8,13(¥1,000 Quinellas)
Nakayama 11th Race # 8 Turning Point with 1,2,3,6,11,12,14( ¥1,000 each-way Exacta) (¥5000 win ticket)
Chukyo 3rd Race # 10 Theme Song with 1,4,7,12,14,16 (¥1,000 each-way Exacta)

Thursday, December 24, 2009

Arima Kinen 09

2-14, 9-14,1-14,7-14,8-14,( Insurance BOX 1,2,7,8,9) Jack Nicholson rightfully asked "Is this as good as it gets", as far as #14 Seiun Wonder, is concerned, hardly! With potential favorable early fractions, Shinji Fugita looks to be in position to steal a victory ahead of the talented but late running speed and capture the 54th annual Alima Kinen this Sunday. Comming in 3rd in three of the last four races, Wonder has not embarrassed himself but the betting public will let him fly under the radar and go off at 18.0 or HIGHER!! Value here!

Nakayama might be the answer? Yokoyama might be the answer? I cant justify #2 Buena Vista, being the favorite, but at 53 kilo you have to put her near the top!

The knock on #9 Dream Journey, is the starting gate ,but he is definitly a better horse than the one that came in 4th last year.

#8 Reach The Crown, can control a race with smart fractions. The pace is the hardest aspect to guage but if he runs as well as the Kikka-Sho, then should be bottom heavy for a trifecta play.

#7 Matsuri da Gogh, Tend to think his succsess at Nakayama has to due with the class he has been running with( earlier career) than anything else. Kunieda is the trainer so enough said. Have to consider.

#1 Unrivaled, back to back solid speed numbers in the Spring at Nakayama.
#10 Three Rolls...perfect trip in the Kikka-sho..wont get it here!
#16 Forgettable...Stayer Stakes was the appropriate race for him. Way over his head in class & seasoning.
#4 Meiner Kitz.. might regret this one, but new jockey Miru will have a handful at 2500 on this course.
#6 Air Shady..I picked this horse in last years Alima to win. Not this time. Love the Goto/Ito combination but.........

Monday, December 21, 2009

Dec 19th & 20th Results

0-2 this weekend with a -¥18,000 loss. Key horses finishing 2nd and 5th.

Saturday, December 19, 2009

Dec 20th Selection

Nakayama 8th Race( ¥1000 each way exacta)

#12 Sweet Macaren with 1,3,10,11

Friday, December 18, 2009

Dec 19th Selection

Nakayama 12th Race ¥1000 each-way

#14 Hokulele, bad gate and all, however has the rating for an " effort" in a Nakayama profile!
#14 with 3,5,9,11,12

Sunday, December 13, 2009

Dec 12th & 13th Result

Got Hanshin 18-6 for a ¥37,000 return to squeeze out a ¥9000 profit weekend for Keibagold blog. The big returns were international however, as I scored in both of my races with a very generous $87 HK return in the Cup that came to over( both races) 4K ($U.S )total.Two more weekends to go!!!

Saturday, December 12, 2009

Dec 13th Selections & Hong Kong

2yr-old fillie form cycles are highly unpredictable. What is predictable is the long term (R.O.I.) of a Ebina/Kunieda combination. Tough race but will go with what works!

Hanshin 11 Race # 18 Apapane ( ¥1000 each-way exacta)
with 6,7,8,16

Nakayama 11 Race..#7 Daiwa Delight with 5,6,11,14,16 ( same as above)

Hong Kong Mile..# 6 Happy Zero( $50 one-way exacta)( $100 quinella)
with 1,2,3,9

Hong Kong Cup..#4 Collection ( same as above)
with 1,3,5,7

please consider for international wagering.

Friday, December 11, 2009

Dec 12th Selection

Nakayama ¥1000 each-way Exacta

11Race..Goto turned down Tribute Song in G3( Chukyo) to ride Air McCool. Track conditions not withstanding ,will go with#8 with 1,2,3,10,13

Sunday, December 6, 2009

If Only I Had........

Experience shows that generally when you hit 3/5 winners, profit normally ensues! Not! Some tough breaks this weekend as Keibagold(blog) had what could have been an early Christmas extravaganza, end up being a frustrating result. Rock the Nation came home a winner( Munakata Turf to Dirt now hitting at a 70% clip at Nakayama) but unfortunately I didn't include enough dark horse fliers and missed out on the ¥153,000, return. Golden Ticket( at 38.9) came up just short, thwarting a 1-9 ¥2000> 360,000( exacta return)(180.1) and a ¥184,000 Quinella return. (92.0). A possible ¥697,000 day. That's racing!

Saturday, December 5, 2009

Dec 6th Selections

Early Nakayama( 1st Race ) ..# Rock the Nation- turf to 10.1
#11 each way ¥1000 Exacta with 5,6,8,9,16

Hanshin ( 11 Race) JC Dirt * see earlier post for write-up

1-5 ¥3000
1-7 ¥2000
1-16 ¥5000

1-5 ¥3000
1-16 ¥10,000


#1 ¥10,000

Friday, December 4, 2009

Dec 5th Selections

All Hanshin, ¥1000 Quinellas

Will have a little fun with the Super Jockey Challenge and chose Calvin Borel, as my weekend anchor. (photo: riding Rachel Alexandra)

10 Race# 8 with 3,6,7,13
12 Race # 12 with 2,4,5,7

11 Race ¥1000 one way exacta.¥2000 quinella
# 7 with 4,5,6,9,10,12 ( I Ko Piko, was on my long list for the Japan Cup until he dropped out. This definitely looks softer!


One-way Exactas( 1-16,1-5, 1-7,1-9)..Quinellas( 1-16,1-5,5-16,1-7,1-9) Catch him if you can! Earning a big speed number(107) off his last race in Morioka, a well rested Espoir City, looks to go wire to wire this Sunday and capture the 09 Japan Cup in Hanshin. The race profiles showing dismal efforts with horses on or near the lead can be discarded along with the laser disks and VHS machines. Hashin race course , with the shorten distance, will create a different type of monster. There were indications in last years Cup which lacked any " credible" early speed which saw Kane Hekil have a winning line of 4 3 3 4 1, that fortunes would be reversed. The potential stretch runners in this years race have more negatives than positives, and the mid-pack stalker types have inconsistent speed ratings, compounded by class concerns. Throw in a couple of dark horse fliers, (#9 Mori trained Golden Ticket) and the front runner( #7 Tizaway..he might take to the track?) and we have a very unimaginative early speed wager!********************************************************************************

#4 Vermilion..Handicapping 101..horses 5yrs or older after a layoff of 3 months or more and after a win, have a huge potential to Bounce on their second time out.
# 2 Success Broken... had a good number in his race before last!.....last race?
# 12 Silk Mobius...if the pace falters, this horse is for you.