Thursday, December 24, 2009

Arima Kinen 09

2-14, 9-14,1-14,7-14,8-14,( Insurance BOX 1,2,7,8,9) Jack Nicholson rightfully asked "Is this as good as it gets", as far as #14 Seiun Wonder, is concerned, hardly! With potential favorable early fractions, Shinji Fugita looks to be in position to steal a victory ahead of the talented but late running speed and capture the 54th annual Alima Kinen this Sunday. Comming in 3rd in three of the last four races, Wonder has not embarrassed himself but the betting public will let him fly under the radar and go off at 18.0 or HIGHER!! Value here!

Nakayama might be the answer? Yokoyama might be the answer? I cant justify #2 Buena Vista, being the favorite, but at 53 kilo you have to put her near the top!

The knock on #9 Dream Journey, is the starting gate ,but he is definitly a better horse than the one that came in 4th last year.

#8 Reach The Crown, can control a race with smart fractions. The pace is the hardest aspect to guage but if he runs as well as the Kikka-Sho, then should be bottom heavy for a trifecta play.

#7 Matsuri da Gogh, Tend to think his succsess at Nakayama has to due with the class he has been running with( earlier career) than anything else. Kunieda is the trainer so enough said. Have to consider.

#1 Unrivaled, back to back solid speed numbers in the Spring at Nakayama.
#10 Three Rolls...perfect trip in the Kikka-sho..wont get it here!
#16 Forgettable...Stayer Stakes was the appropriate race for him. Way over his head in class & seasoning.
#4 Meiner Kitz.. might regret this one, but new jockey Miru will have a handful at 2500 on this course.
#6 Air Shady..I picked this horse in last years Alima to win. Not this time. Love the Goto/Ito combination but.........


mcwong said...

other selections:
#02 ブエナビスタ(Buena Vista)- my favourite 3yo filly
(1着, 2着, 3着, 4着以下-出走回数: 5,1,3,0-9)

#10 スリーロールス(Three Rolls)- my favourite 3yo colt
(1着, 2着, 3着, 4着以下-出走回数: 4,1,0,6-11)

Keith Hagstrom said...

MC, You cant go wrong with Buena Vista but at only 3.1 I'm not going to put her on top of any trifecta or Exacta. I have my doubts about Three Rolls though. I hope you had a Merry Christmas and continual good fortune next year.