Saturday, November 27, 2010

Japan Cup.. The Young Guns vs Buena

Hanging over the hopes of 17 owners is a " Wanted Poster" of one Buena Vista. The reward for capture is three million dollars and a photograph taken in the winners circle. There are four young guns for hire that have a chance to lasso the fillie, particularly the leader of the gang Eishin Flash. Benefiting from
a promising bloodline that has already produced Europe's Horse Of The Year, and one of Japan's most aggressive jockeys , this horse has all the moxie to be more than a mere flash in the pan.

Take Yutaka was quite correct on his estimate of Rose Kingdom. " I haven't seen his best yet".
His best will be needed tomorrow but with the ease Take has been riding this budding superstar in his previous two mounts, the third one might indeed be the charmer.

There wasn't a more impressive ride on this track and distance than the one Pelusa raced on May 1st. Yes, his gate troubles have to be acknowledged but we could very well be capturing lightning in a bottle if its a honest run tomorrow.

Arguably if Victoria Pisa had stayed in Japan instead of opting for France, there very well might have been some very different G1 and G2 results. Pisa was the Derby favorite who has done nothing wrong except get on an airplane. Trainer Sumi is a master of conditioning that should have this horses aim right on target.

Though not a young gun, Jaguar
Mail, has a potentially deadly draw
that must be respected. He should have plenty in his tank after basically just going through the motions in his last two races.
The Wager: 6-16, 10-16, 16-10, 16-6. ¥5000 Each-Way Exacta
2-16,16-2, 7-16,16-7, 8-16,16-8..¥2000 Each-Way Exacta

6-16-with 2,7,8,10 ¥1000 Straight Trifecta
16-6 with 2,7,8,10 ¥1000 Straight Trifecta
10-16 with 2,6,7,8 ¥1000 Straight Trifecta
16-10 with 2,6,7,8 ¥1000 Straight Trifecta
#11 Nakayama Fiesta...Getting an inflated price because of his most recent success overseas.
Of course capable but wagering that he will disappoint tomorrow.

#14..Oken Bruce Lee....lightly raced this year. It will be a tall order to duplicate last years terrific run.


7th Race

#12 with 2,4,5,9 ¥1000 Each Way Exacta

8th Race

#11 with 1,3,4,5,15 ¥1000 Each-Way Exacta


#17 with 1,6,9,13,16 ¥1000 Each-Way Exacta

Friday, November 26, 2010

November 27th

Kyoto 6th Race

#14 Celebrity....Good spot play on a Shii/ Sumi combination. This trainer /jockey combination is hitting at a 38% ratio in maiden races. Subtract the lowly dirt % of 0-9, this turf angle has proven a good long term play!

The Wager: #14 with 6, 7,9,10,17 ..¥1000 Each-Way Exacta

Saturday, November 20, 2010

Mile Championship

Kyoto 11th Race

#2 Smile Jack...For three consecutive races from March 21 to June 6th did any horse have as competitive fractions as Jack had. A true miler , after a 4 month break, Jack went up in distance in the G2 Mainichi Okan where he ran admirably but fell short.The Tenno-sho showed nothing except that this horse has developed nicely into a mid-pack stalker regardless of the distance. Back at 1600m and with 2 quality races in the books, perhaps that Spring form will be regained and get a good horse over 10.1 on the boards.

The Wager: #2 with 4,8,11,12,15,16....¥1000 Each-Way Exacta

Long shot saver...# 12 Absolute...too good of horse to be at 50.0. After nearly 5 months off I'm not so certain his form will be off!

The Wager: #12 with 4,8,11,15,16...¥500 Quinellas

Total Wager: ¥14,500....Profit index on every ticket from 8-2 ( 49.5) to 11-2 ( 145.0)

Friday, November 19, 2010

November 20th


9th Race.... # 6 Air Wolf.. Has been the favorite the last four consecutive races but hasn't produce as well as he is capable of. We can throw out the previous race on the 7th of this month with it's ridiculously slow pace and wager that the fractions will be faster tomorrow along with the welcome addition of jockey Soumillion who has ridden Wolf to his only two wins of his career.

The Wager..#6 with 3,4,8,12,13,15 ¥1000 Each-way Exacta

Total Wager ¥12,000 with a profit index on every ticket from 15-6 (30.2) + ¥18,000 to 12-6 ( 120.0) + ¥ 108,000

Saturday, November 13, 2010

November 14th Queen Elizabeth

Kyoto 11 Race

#9 Meisho Beluga..She has been running with the boys in far superior races than any of her counter parts. She might prefer additional distance but class could very well compensate for it here.

The Wager 5-9 ¥5000 Quinella ...#9 with 6,11,12,14,17 ¥1000 Each-Way Exacta

Total Wager: ¥15,000....Expected profit index on every ticket from 5-9 (5.7) +10,000¥to 14-9 (145.7) + 130,000¥

********* #11 has been scratched from the race. Will play #7 as an alternative ticket.

Friday, November 12, 2010

November 13th

Tokyo 10th Race

# 8 Urbanity..Very sharp fractions throughout the Swan Stakes on October 30th in Kyoto and now back at his most successful venue.

The Wager..#8 with 3, 4 10,11,13,16 ¥1000 Each-Way Exacta

Total Wager ¥12,000 ........ Profitable index expectancy on every wager from 8-4 ( 25.4) + ¥13,000 to 16-8 ( 94.3) + ¥82,000

Kyoto 12 Race

#2 Omega Blue Hawaii..Has been running in a class that she can compete in and it continues with this race here.

The Wager...#2 with 5,7, ¥2000 Each Way Exacta #2 with 8 ¥1000 Each-Way

Total Wager ¥10,000 .......Profitable index expectancy on every wager from 7-2 11.1 ( ¥+2000) to 8-2 (39.5)
+ ¥29,000

Nov 13th wager total ¥23,000.....Profitable index expectancy on every wager except( Kyoto 7-2 -¥1000)

Saturday, November 6, 2010

November 7th

Tokyo 11th Race

Finally got a dirt track without the rain. Two horses that are capable on such a surface.

#2 Transcend
#4 Kings Ransom

The Wager:

#2 with 4 ¥2000 Each -Way Exacta #2 with 6,8,9,10 ¥1000 Each-Way Exacta
#4 with 6,8,9,10 ¥1000 Quinellas
#2 with 4,6,8,9,10 ¥1000 Random Trifectas