Thursday, June 30, 2011

I KO PIKO R.I.P



I KO PIKO, meaning the " highest peak", in the native Hawaiian language, had to be put down after coming up lame in last Sunday's Geshi Stakes.

Piko had 4 wins in his short career, the lone graded one, The Kobe Shinbun Hai on September 29th ,2009.

Looking back at my records, I couldn't find using him as a key horse but I always seemed to use him in my combinations though. His name had a certain ring to it. There is no doubt he probably would have come up big in a race at some point in his still young career. Too bad.

KEIBAGOLD


Since the last update on February 12th,

Total Wagers: 24
Total Wagers Won: 7
Total Wagers Lost: 17
Total Amount Wagered : ¥672,000
Total Amount Returned: ¥541,000
Net Profit: 0
Net Loss: -¥131,000
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Total 2011 Results

Total Wagers: 34
Wagers Won 9
Wagers Lost 25
Net Profit ¥219,000

Keibagold Current Overall Profit + ¥851,000
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The winning percentage looks very anemic for sure but its actually in line with my overall strategy of wagering. Some astute handicapper said ( I couldn't find the actual quote) that there is a 75% chance your bankroll will always be decreasing from the previous days amount. This certainly has always held true for me. I try to relax and flow with the tides of the stormy seas, which is horse racing handicapping, just trying to stay above water long enough until that life saver jacket of a big win is thrown down to me every 3 or 4 times a year. This year ,I can thank two horses from saving me from drowning. Smile Jack on February 12th and Headliner on May 21st. Looking back on this years first half, I see only one race I regret betting ( the amount) and that was the Tenno. Risking 100,000 on one race seemed very ignorant for sure. This summer I will " box play" most of my wagers , except for this weekend where I will single out Target Machine* yes, again.:)....By the end of the summer, I will bet that the losing percent of these "boxes" will be higher than the winning, but there will be an overall net profit. Rather it be in mid-July or August, a couple mid-price fliers will come in together to give me that " life jacket" of a race to keep me afloat.

Friday, June 24, 2011

Takarazuka: A Summer Suprise?



Buena Vista's proverbial late spurt might be her undoing this Sunday, as yielding track conditions look to be more of an advantage for her contenders rather than the " Queen of the Turf" herself.

Rulership and Earnesty took to similar conditions quite well in the Kinko Sho last month. Namura Cresent faltered down the stretch in last years running but looks to be in better form this time around. To The Glory, has a chance as well as long as regular jockey Fukunaga can take the lead early and maintain a " controlled pace". Rose Kingdom, with new jockey Williams, should be sitting pretty off the pace enabling him to make a "kick" come stretch time that wasn't there in the Tenno-Sho.

The Wager: Straight Trifecta Keying #8 for 2nd....( 2,3,9,14) & ( 8) & (1,2,3,9,14) * 16 tickets ¥1000
Straight Trifecta Keying #8 for 3rd....( 2,3,9,14) & (2,3,4,9,14) & (8) * 16 tickets ¥1000

Each-Way Exacta Box (2,3,9,14) * 12 tickets ( ¥1000 ) Total Wager ¥48,000

Saturday, June 18, 2011

June 19th


Hanshin 11 Race

# 13 .Provinage.. Trainer Kojima has been doing well as of late at this course and with a recent dead rail at Hanshin, this might be the extra advantage an outside gate will benifit from.

The Wager: Boxing 1,5,8,11,13 ¥1000 Each-Way Exacta except # 13 which will be wagered at ¥2000.

Friday, June 17, 2011

June 18th

Nakayama 11 Race

#7 Meiner Obelisk

The Wager: #7 with 1,6,8,9,10 ¥1000 Each-Way Exactas

Saturday, June 11, 2011

Epsom Cup


Tokyo 11 Race

# 6 Sacred Valley...soft conditions going tomorrow could net him two in a row.

The Wager # 6 with 2,5,16,17,18 ¥1000 Each-Way Exacta

Friday, June 3, 2011

A Table Set For YOYO




The early speed breaking from the outside gates, hurrying to battle a clean starting Silport, will most likely prove a insurmountable disadvantage for all concern, as the pace breaks and the stretch runners turn it on.

#13 Craig Williams has had some impressive stretch runs this Tokyo meet and I'm wagering the run he wanted with Tosen Reve last week, he will get this weekend with DANON YOYO

#8 Yes, the schedule is tight with two G1 races in a span of three weeks but I'm trusting trainer Kunieda knows the limitations of his prized girl and I'm not going to layoff any horse that can beat Buenna, regardless of the short interval. APAPANE

#3 One of my favorites here in a desirable spot. The odds will be above 10, and mid-pace style of running that jockey Miura favors with him could be the play, especially if his positioning holds and the pace doesn't. SMILE JACK

The Wager: 3-13, 8-13, ¥5000 Each-Way Exacta ( 3-8, ¥ 3000 Each -Way Exacta
1-3, 3-4, 3-5, 3-9, 1-13, 4-13, 5-13, 9-13 ¥1000 Each- Way Exacta