Saturday, August 28, 2010

August 29th

Niigata 11 Race ( Niigata Kinen)

#4 Smart Gear... The fastest finishing kicks of 32.8, 33.8, 34.4 but still just two 3rds to show for it. The only glimmer of a better result is that on the same track last year ( August 16th 1600 Class) he ran the fastest stretch of his career at 32.1 BUT still only managed a second place showing. Getting 5.8 in the win pool so I will dive in one more time on this proverbial late commer.

#6 Tosho Scirocco...Simply an odds play here. Was 6.4 in the G2 AJC back in January finishing 3rd. Has remained visible on the tote board being in the top 5 choices for the last three races but hasn't produced. Finished 5th in his last race but the final time /fractions weren't that bad to render him odds of over 30.0 which he'll probably get. I'll take it.

The Wager..#4 with 1,3,5,6,12,15 ¥1000 Each-Way Exacta
#4 with 1,3,5,6,12,15 Random Trifecta ¥500 (15 tickets)
#6 with 1,3,5,12,15 ¥500 Each-Way Exacta

Friday, August 27, 2010

August 28th

Niigata 11 Race

# 5 Keiai Daisy...With Shonan Alba a late scratch, will become the favorite. Has been running well since switching to turf and only carrying 50 kilo.
#15..Shigeru Hasrat...lone early speed contestant. Could duplicate last effort.

The Wager..#5 with 1,4,6,12,15 ¥1000 Each-Way Exactas #15 with 1,4,6,12 ¥1000 Quinella
( ¥14,000)

Friday, August 6, 2010

August 7th & 8th Selections


I don't think we can go wrong with these horses this weekend. I will be surprise if even one doesn't at least hit the board!

1.) Crawford
2.) Will Power
3.) Sacred Valley
4.) Spirytus
August 7th

Niigata..12 Race

#16 Crawford...#18 Will Power...Both Sunday Racing Co. standouts ! Crawford was an up and comer late last year but a few dissapointing results sent him back to the training center this Spring. This level looks doable for a nice rebound!

The Wager: #16 with 1,5,8,10,18 ¥1000 Each-Way Exacta....#18 with 1,5,8,10 ¥1000 Quinellas....#16 & #18 with 1,5,8,10 Random Trifectas ..¥2000
August 8th

Niigata..11th Race...#9 Sacred Valley...#10 Spirytus

The Wager # 9-10, 10-9, ¥2000 Each-Way Exacta...# 9 with 1,4,13,16,18..¥1000 Each-Way Exacta...#10 with 1,4,13,16,18 ¥1000 Quinella....#9 & #10 with 1,4,13,16,18 ¥1000 Random Trifectas****************************************************************************

Hakodate..9th Race...#13 Rurinigana....Wire to Wire victory is looking good!!

The Wager: #13 with 1,2 ..¥2000 Each Way Exacta...#13 with 4,6,7,11 ¥1000 Each-Way Exacta*************************************************************************

I really think every thing being equal( good weather) there will be a profitable weekend ahead with these selections!!

Wednesday, August 4, 2010

Hakodate 2 yr-old Stakes

A difficult race to handicap,as all horses are coming off their maiden race victories ( except two entrants) and over a quarter of the field have untested sire and dam linage on the Japan tracks.
One such horse who is getting a lot of rail talk attention is the filly Rurinigana.(*photo*) Her muscular physique , along with some bullet workouts this past week, will garner some unexpected lines at the betting windows later this Sunday. Her sire, Australia's Snitzel, won last years " Freshman Sire Honors", but is also dubious for almost ruining the Australian Racing Industry. I pasted an article below. .:::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::

What you need to know about this race is summed up by the last two year winning Exacta payouts by the favorite and second favorite combination.

09-1-16, ¥1610
08-12-7 ¥2990

Its difficult to wager with much confidence with such limited past data thus the betting pools are quite undervalued on this race. I'll probably wager a few fliers on Ruri, she seems like a horse I could root for. **************************************************************************

Snitzel in the frame, stud unconvinced

13 Jun, 2008 09:19 AM
Retired Hunter Valley racehorse Snitzel has been named as the possible source of the equine influenza virus which devastated Australia's racing and breeding industry.

Former High Court judge Ian Callinan could reach no precise findings in his report on the outbreak, but concluded that the virus had most likely been carried from quarantine on a person or a piece of equipment that had not been properly disinfected.

He also concluded that it was likely an intake of horses from Japan namely, Snitzel, along with three others was infected or contaminated with the virus when they arrived at Eastern Creek on August 8.

Snitzel had been in Japan as a stud horse and was returning home to Arrowfield farm.

The president of the Thoroughbred Breeders Association and Arrowfield stud's managing director, John Messara, said he doubted Snitzel had brought the virus to Australia.

''We had a groom with the horse at all times and they never saw the horse being sick,'' he said.

''He [Snitzel] may have been a carrier but at no stage was Snitzel sick. But because there was a similar strain of the virus in Japan they have put two and two together and got this. Poor old Snitzel. They have sort of fingered him but they aren't certain. It's quite possible EI was brought in by a human being.''

Mr Callinan said the rapid spread of the virus in NSW and Queensland had been traced to a three-day equestrian event held at Anambah, near Maitland, from August 17-19.

Some 200 entrants competed in the event at Rutherford polocrosse ground and at Carrolls Ranch.

Veteran trainer Frank Cleary, who has 15 horses in training at his Catbird stables at Queanbeyan Racecourse, said he welcomed any improvements to the rules governing horse imports but would oppose any move to make the industry pay for it.

''That'd be a real stiff ask, after the kick in the arse that we've already had from this thing,'' Mr Cleary said.

Mr Cleary's response was typical of the Canberra region racing industry's in general.

Mr Callinan, whose report brought down 38 recommendations, has called for upgrades to unloading areas at Sydney and Melbourne airports and for increases in the fees charged for using the quarantine stations.

''I don't think that too many people would be real keen on that,'' Mr Cleary said.

''It wasn't the trainers' fault that this thing broke out so we shouldn't have to pay for it.''

Mr Cleary said the outbreak, which is estimated to have cost Australian racing up to $1 billion, was felt less keenly in the Canberra region than in other parts of the nation but the local industry still felt the financial pain.

''We all lost money,'' he said.

''It's all right to say that they gave us the grants and helped us out a little bit.

''But at the end of the day you've still got to race and win prizemoney because you still have to pay your feed man and your track riders.''

The Golden Slipper-winning trainer said he was not thinking of suing the Australian Quarantine and Inspection Service over losses incurred during the outbreak.

''That'd be a long drawn-out process and I reckon that if you broke square at the end of the day, you'd be lucky.

''So you move on.''

Another Queanbeyan-based trainer, Mike Petrovic, also reacted coolly to the idea of taking legal action against quarantine authorities.

''I'd be cautious because I'm not clear on the legal side of things,'' he said.

''I'd have to speak to my owners and see what they think.''

Tuesday, August 3, 2010

Sekiya Kinen Preview

Spirytus, the 5 yr-old gelding will try to ride the momentum with Shibata this weekend in Niigata and cap a victory in a graded race, in what has been a very consistent campaign thus far this year. The decision to move up in class was undoubtedly made easier after his previous win in Tokyo, where he timed an impressive 33.1 stretch time . To give punters more reason to make him the probable favorite is his 8 for 10 board mark at the race distance of 1600 meters.........................................................................................................................................................

Odds & Ends

Horse coming off Graded races have won the last six.

The public has excelled at finding the favorite, as it has hit the board the last nine consecutive races.
Spirytus is no Smile Jack, who won this race last year, but I see no underlying flaws that says he cant compete at this level. Like last week where a graded race was a requisite for winning, this seems to be the only knock against Spiry..abet a very light one.