Wednesday, August 4, 2010

Hakodate 2 yr-old Stakes


A difficult race to handicap,as all horses are coming off their maiden race victories ( except two entrants) and over a quarter of the field have untested sire and dam linage on the Japan tracks.
One such horse who is getting a lot of rail talk attention is the filly Rurinigana.(*photo*) Her muscular physique , along with some bullet workouts this past week, will garner some unexpected lines at the betting windows later this Sunday. Her sire, Australia's Snitzel, won last years " Freshman Sire Honors", but is also dubious for almost ruining the Australian Racing Industry. I pasted an article below. .:::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::

What you need to know about this race is summed up by the last two year winning Exacta payouts by the favorite and second favorite combination.

09-1-16, ¥1610
08-12-7 ¥2990

Its difficult to wager with much confidence with such limited past data thus the betting pools are quite undervalued on this race. I'll probably wager a few fliers on Ruri, she seems like a horse I could root for. **************************************************************************

Snitzel in the frame, stud unconvinced

13 Jun, 2008 09:19 AM
Retired Hunter Valley racehorse Snitzel has been named as the possible source of the equine influenza virus which devastated Australia's racing and breeding industry.

Former High Court judge Ian Callinan could reach no precise findings in his report on the outbreak, but concluded that the virus had most likely been carried from quarantine on a person or a piece of equipment that had not been properly disinfected.

He also concluded that it was likely an intake of horses from Japan namely, Snitzel, along with three others was infected or contaminated with the virus when they arrived at Eastern Creek on August 8.

Snitzel had been in Japan as a stud horse and was returning home to Arrowfield farm.

The president of the Thoroughbred Breeders Association and Arrowfield stud's managing director, John Messara, said he doubted Snitzel had brought the virus to Australia.

''We had a groom with the horse at all times and they never saw the horse being sick,'' he said.

''He [Snitzel] may have been a carrier but at no stage was Snitzel sick. But because there was a similar strain of the virus in Japan they have put two and two together and got this. Poor old Snitzel. They have sort of fingered him but they aren't certain. It's quite possible EI was brought in by a human being.''

Mr Callinan said the rapid spread of the virus in NSW and Queensland had been traced to a three-day equestrian event held at Anambah, near Maitland, from August 17-19.

Some 200 entrants competed in the event at Rutherford polocrosse ground and at Carrolls Ranch.

Veteran trainer Frank Cleary, who has 15 horses in training at his Catbird stables at Queanbeyan Racecourse, said he welcomed any improvements to the rules governing horse imports but would oppose any move to make the industry pay for it.

''That'd be a real stiff ask, after the kick in the arse that we've already had from this thing,'' Mr Cleary said.

Mr Cleary's response was typical of the Canberra region racing industry's in general.

Mr Callinan, whose report brought down 38 recommendations, has called for upgrades to unloading areas at Sydney and Melbourne airports and for increases in the fees charged for using the quarantine stations.

''I don't think that too many people would be real keen on that,'' Mr Cleary said.

''It wasn't the trainers' fault that this thing broke out so we shouldn't have to pay for it.''

Mr Cleary said the outbreak, which is estimated to have cost Australian racing up to $1 billion, was felt less keenly in the Canberra region than in other parts of the nation but the local industry still felt the financial pain.

''We all lost money,'' he said.

''It's all right to say that they gave us the grants and helped us out a little bit.

''But at the end of the day you've still got to race and win prizemoney because you still have to pay your feed man and your track riders.''

The Golden Slipper-winning trainer said he was not thinking of suing the Australian Quarantine and Inspection Service over losses incurred during the outbreak.

''That'd be a long drawn-out process and I reckon that if you broke square at the end of the day, you'd be lucky.

''So you move on.''

Another Queanbeyan-based trainer, Mike Petrovic, also reacted coolly to the idea of taking legal action against quarantine authorities.

''I'd be cautious because I'm not clear on the legal side of things,'' he said.

''I'd have to speak to my owners and see what they think.''



Tuesday, August 3, 2010

Sekiya Kinen Preview

Spirytus, the 5 yr-old gelding will try to ride the momentum with Shibata this weekend in Niigata and cap a victory in a graded race, in what has been a very consistent campaign thus far this year. The decision to move up in class was undoubtedly made easier after his previous win in Tokyo, where he timed an impressive 33.1 stretch time . To give punters more reason to make him the probable favorite is his 8 for 10 board mark at the race distance of 1600 meters.........................................................................................................................................................


Odds & Ends


Horse coming off Graded races have won the last six.

The public has excelled at finding the favorite, as it has hit the board the last nine consecutive races.
******************************************************************************:
Spirytus is no Smile Jack, who won this race last year, but I see no underlying flaws that says he cant compete at this level. Like last week where a graded race was a requisite for winning, this seems to be the only knock against Spiry..abet a very light one.

Saturday, July 31, 2010

Kokura Kinen


10th Race...# 9 Admire AURA...Will get between 4.8~6.4 in the win pool for a horse that looks to be headed in the right direction. First timer for the course and carrying 58 is a concern but with Ando back on board, Admire seems like a solid wager.

The Wager..4-9, 6-9. 9-16.¥2000 Each -Way Exacta...... (1-9, 9-11...¥1000 Each Way Exacta) ¥10,000 #9 Show Ticket

¥26,000 Total
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Niigata 8 Race...#1 Hammer Price

The Wager..#1 with 2,5,8,11,15 ¥1000 Quinellas

Friday, July 30, 2010

July 31st Selection


Kokura...9th Race

# 2 Hero..Finally got his win after being very consistent with good numbers. Will wager that his success can continue.

The Wager: 2-10, 2-15..¥1000 Each-Way Exacta.......2-8, 2-9, 2-11, ¥1000 Quinellas

Tuesday, July 27, 2010

Kokura Kinen Preview


A battle of the beaten favorites. Admire Aura, White Pilgrim, and Sunrise Vega look to rebound from losing as favorites in their previous starts and make amends in this Sunday's Grade 3 Kokura Kinen. The return of Take Yutaka, on board the always consistent Smart Gear will prove a worthy obstacle in one of this summers better races so far to date. ****************************

Odds & Ends

Late speed is dominant here. An average running line taken from the past 10 years.
12 10 10 6 1 ( keep in mind that there were an average of 14 horses in the field)

Take Yutaka has had success here. 2nd place showing last year and winning three consecutive from 03-05

Horses coming off Graded races have won the past 5 years**********************************

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The fractions in Admire Auras last race ( 46.4, 58.9 ,71.5) were the fastest of the weekend( at 1800m) It is admirable that he hung on for 3rd considering he was up front more on the pace than he usually is and carrying 58 . This un lucky horse ( health wise) just may have his form back! A win here puts him in line for the Tenno-Sho later in the fall. No shading my opinion, I like AURA in this one!

Saturday, July 24, 2010

Hakodate Kinen

9th Race..#7..Mayano Raijin... 12th last time out at 6.8 odds. Over exaggeration by the betting public here at 20.0. Not giving up on the 9yr-old just yet.
#16..Field Bear...most of his dominance at this track came earlier in his career. Betting that early speed wont hold and his positioning should be perfect for a good effort.

The Wager #16 with 4.7.9.12 ¥2000 -Each Way -Exacta
# 7 with 4.9.12 ¥1000 -Each Way Exacta

Friday, July 23, 2010

July 24th

Kokura 11 Race..#14 Mikki Ballade

The Wager #14 with 1,5,13,16 Each-Way Exacta ¥1000