Monday, May 10, 2010
My take on Japanese racing and particular this blog is on the gambling side. Having said that, lets put Danon Chantily(#13) record race in yesterdays NHK Mile Cup in a little more perspective. He did what all Fuji kiseki sires do, and that is to run well between 1200\1600 meters on turf. The time of 1.31.4 is impressive, but somewhat less so if you realize that just last week, Tiger Fang won an Allowance race at the same distance in 1.33.6. The track is running fast, particular in the late afternoon post times. The Mile Cup is now considered a prep for the Derby because of the recent success of Deep Sky. In reality its not. The past 5 years of the top 3 finishers in the Cup, the horses are 0 for 14 in the Derby. Another potential pitfall for potential Danon backers, is that horses BOUNCE when coming of record times. Do I consider Danon a serious contender for the Derby?..uhm..No!......Sumi trained Rulership(#5) was on form taking the Principal Stakes on Saturday. My speed figures on him are still marginal, but he has 3 weeks to sharpen up. He has the connections to do it needlessly to say. I still like Reve d ' Orient, who only managed a 3rd place showing in the Kyoto Shinbun Hai. I haven't determined the pace-line for the Derby yet, but given some luck this horse could be a trifecta buster!**************************************** I've got quite a few emails saying how my selections have been less than stellar lately...true the big races that everyone likes to bet( except me) have been disappointing,but where was the mail when I hit last weeks Airwolf ticket for ￥112,000 return on a ￥1000 wager.
Posted by Keith Hagstrom at 8:16 AM